Tonight we have a healthy 12 game slate, and over on DraftKings you can find the Tuesday Special contest that rewards $10,000 to the winner with only 5760 entrants. Looking over the games and factoring in what Vegas thinks, I wanted to focus in on a few teams to build our roster around.
Again, this guide is more of a “mental game plan” about how and why I picked players, rather than just spewing out a ton of stats and analysis. I like to look for players that feed of each other, whether on the same line or power play unit — being able to accumulate points from multiple sources on the same goal helps maximize points.
Carolina @ Ottawa
J. Skinner $6,100
V. Rask $5,700
J. Faulk $5,500
M. Hoffman $6,000
K. Turris $5,400
That being said, I wanted to start with the Carolina Hurrricanes who are the best team on the road in terms of goals but are almost the worst at allowing them as well.
Against the Senators tonight, Victor Rask and Jeff Skinner are expected to continue to their assault on team with their one-two combo punch that they can deliver. They have combined for 21 points and tonight against a Ottawa team that is struggling to keep the puck out of their net at even strength, I think that this line continues to produce goals. The price for both players is $11,800 so it’s a good deal and lets you use them with some higher priced players as well.
In the same game I want to use the quarterback for the power play, Justin Faulk, who is one of the top 10 defenseman in the league and doesn’t get the recognition he deserves. I think this trio will combine on a goal tonight and Faulk may even find the back of the net on the power play.
In the same game I want to add in Mike Hoffman and Kyle Turris who share the same line but play on alternate power play units. Hoffman finally found the back of the net last game and even rang one of the pipe for what should have been two.
I want to stay with Hoffman because I believe he will continue to produce now that he has found some confidence. His linemate Turris will benefit from Hoffman’s newly found confidence, while already proving he can produce, with four goals of his own already this year.
Carolina has been really struggling to keep the puck out of the net and tonight we expect this to be a game where defense will get thrown to the dogs.
Calgary @ Chicago
A. Anisimov $5,700
M. Hossa $4,800
D. Engelland $3,000
Moving over to the Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks game, Vegas is really high in Chicago — and deservedly so — but the ‘Hawks are also one of the worst teams defensively right now. While the Flames haven’t been the highest scoring team, I still think they get one or two on the power play (given the ‘Hawks noted PK troubles) but I can’t seem to pinpoint who will do the scoring.
On the Chicago side, with a projected goal total of more than three, I want to pick up some scraps from Artemi Panarin, and Anisimov is the best value to do so. Not only that, he is having a heck of a season with 6 goals and 5 assists already, and should Quenneville reunite him with Patrick Kane, he becomes even more valuable.
While I was tempted to fill my last winger slot with one of the Lightning’s talented forwards, I decided to stick with the plan and go for some point stacks, instead choosing Marian Hossa who is having a productive season for the Hawks. Already with 3 goals and 4 helpers, Hossa is looking like the player of a few years ago and I want to stay with the hot hand.
Tonight my last skater is a low-value defenseman that I think will be able to produce points through the amount of time on ice he plays and his ability to block shots. Chicago is a team that loves to shoot the puck and Deryk Engelland penchant for blocking them. He has 25 blocked shots in 10 games as well as a goal and assist. I think Engelland is a strong play to get points at a low price.
Boston @ Florida
R. Luongo $7,700
Finally in net tonight we have Roberto Luongo from the Florida Panthers who is facing a Bruins team that is one of the worst teams at scoring goals despite their talent.
On my splits sheet, Boston is ranked 29th on the road on the power play, and Vegas has they projected to score only 2 goals plus. Florida seems to be teetering back and forth with all their injuries and the loss of Huberdeau and Bjugstad to start the season didn’t help at all.
While Boston is searching for a way to solve their scoring drought, I want to target them from a defensive standpoint by using Luongo in net tonight. With a 0.910 save percentage and 2.33 goals against average, I think the Panthers tighten the reins at home tonight and limit the Bruins to a goal or two with a strong possibility of a shutout as well.